Benjamin Netanyahu
Implied probability 2%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$54k
Liquidity$54k
Resolves27 Oct 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 6 Nov, 05:25 UTC | 2% |
| 5 Nov, 18:06 UTC | 5% |
| 5 Nov, 06:47 UTC | 6% |
| 5 Nov, 06:11 UTC | 7% |
| 5 Nov, 04:19 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 03:30 UTC | 17% |
| 5 Nov, 03:01 UTC | 11% |
| 5 Nov, 01:28 UTC | 17% |
| 5 Nov, 00:44 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Nov, 22:27 UTC | 10% |
| 4 Nov, 21:10 UTC | 11% |
| 4 Nov, 19:57 UTC | 12% |
| 4 Nov, 18:04 UTC | 16% |
| 4 Nov, 17:27 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Nov, 15:50 UTC | 12% |
| 4 Nov, 15:13 UTC | 12% |
| 4 Nov, 12:40 UTC | 8% |
| 4 Nov, 12:24 UTC | 7% |
| 4 Nov, 06:57 UTC | 17% |
| 4 Nov, 06:07 UTC | 15% |
| 4 Nov, 03:18 UTC | 12% |
| 4 Nov, 01:57 UTC | 15% |
| 3 Nov, 22:12 UTC | 10% |
| 3 Nov, 21:34 UTC | 9% |
| 3 Nov, 21:11 UTC | 13% |
| 3 Nov, 20:34 UTC | 9% |
| 3 Nov, 19:29 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Nov, 15:36 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Nov, 14:53 UTC | 16% |
| 3 Nov, 13:40 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Nov, 13:04 UTC | 15% |
| 3 Nov, 09:54 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Nov, 07:26 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Nov, 03:40 UTC | 11% |
| 3 Nov, 02:37 UTC | 13% |
| 3 Nov, 01:46 UTC | 16% |
| 3 Nov, 01:17 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Nov, 00:48 UTC | 19% |
| 3 Nov, 00:05 UTC | 9% |
| 2 Nov, 22:31 UTC | 13% |
| 2 Nov, 17:04 UTC | 16% |
| 2 Nov, 07:54 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Nov, 02:30 UTC | 7% |
| 1 Nov, 20:57 UTC | 15% |
| 1 Nov, 14:09 UTC | 20% |
| 1 Nov, 11:33 UTC | 18% |
| 1 Nov, 06:57 UTC | 20% |
| 1 Nov, 06:22 UTC | 16% |
| 1 Nov, 05:54 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Nov, 02:36 UTC | 18% |
| 31 Oct, 22:35 UTC | 11% |
| 31 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 12% |
| 31 Oct, 21:53 UTC | 13% |
| 31 Oct, 20:36 UTC | 16% |
| 31 Oct, 19:46 UTC | 14% |
| 31 Oct, 19:17 UTC | 18% |
| 31 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 22% |
| 31 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 18% |
| 31 Oct, 17:06 UTC | 18% |
| 31 Oct, 16:58 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 15:44 UTC | 23% |
| 31 Oct, 14:53 UTC | 21% |
| 31 Oct, 14:16 UTC | 26% |
| 31 Oct, 13:46 UTC | 25% |
| 31 Oct, 11:57 UTC | 24% |
| 31 Oct, 11:21 UTC | 19% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Benjamin Netanyahu formally takes office as Minister of Foreign Affairs following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the date of the election for the deadline; the actual cutoff is when he assumes the specific role.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%