Benjamin Netanyahu
Implied probability 7%−1
24-hour volume$59k
Total volume$6.6M
Liquidity$6.6M
Resolves27 Oct 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 7% |
| 7 Nov, 07:00 UTC | 7% |
| 7 Nov, 06:53 UTC | 7% |
| 7 Nov, 06:19 UTC | 7% |
| 7 Nov, 05:09 UTC | 6% |
| 7 Nov, 04:47 UTC | 7% |
| 7 Nov, 03:01 UTC | 6% |
| 7 Nov, 02:31 UTC | 7% |
| 7 Nov, 02:24 UTC | 6% |
| 7 Nov, 01:41 UTC | 7% |
| 7 Nov, 00:52 UTC | 7% |
| 6 Nov, 23:47 UTC | 6% |
| 6 Nov, 22:35 UTC | 7% |
| 6 Nov, 21:59 UTC | 7% |
| 6 Nov, 21:16 UTC | 6% |
| 6 Nov, 20:39 UTC | 7% |
| 6 Nov, 19:54 UTC | 7% |
| 6 Nov, 19:25 UTC | 6% |
| 6 Nov, 18:27 UTC | 7% |
| 6 Nov, 17:50 UTC | 8% |
| 6 Nov, 17:27 UTC | 9% |
| 6 Nov, 16:43 UTC | 10% |
| 6 Nov, 16:28 UTC | 7% |
| 6 Nov, 15:36 UTC | 7% |
| 6 Nov, 15:29 UTC | 6% |
| 6 Nov, 14:41 UTC | 7% |
| 6 Nov, 14:26 UTC | 7% |
| 6 Nov, 13:35 UTC | 7% |
| 6 Nov, 13:27 UTC | 7% |
| 6 Nov, 12:37 UTC | 8% |
| 6 Nov, 12:22 UTC | 7% |
| 6 Nov, 11:45 UTC | 8% |
| 6 Nov, 11:04 UTC | 8% |
| 6 Nov, 10:27 UTC | 8% |
| 6 Nov, 07:59 UTC | 8% |
| 6 Nov, 07:03 UTC | 8% |
| 6 Nov, 06:21 UTC | 8% |
| 6 Nov, 05:46 UTC | 8% |
| 6 Nov, 05:25 UTC | 7% |
| 6 Nov, 04:49 UTC | 6% |
| 6 Nov, 03:58 UTC | 8% |
| 6 Nov, 03:15 UTC | 9% |
| 6 Nov, 02:52 UTC | 9% |
| 6 Nov, 02:29 UTC | 9% |
| 6 Nov, 01:38 UTC | 7% |
| 6 Nov, 00:55 UTC | 8% |
| 6 Nov, 00:12 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 23:51 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Nov, 23:29 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 22:54 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 21:49 UTC | 8% |
| 5 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Nov, 20:27 UTC | 7% |
| 5 Nov, 19:29 UTC | 6% |
| 5 Nov, 18:43 UTC | 8% |
| 5 Nov, 18:20 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Nov, 17:58 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Nov, 17:20 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 16:51 UTC | 11% |
| 5 Nov, 16:21 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Nov, 15:41 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 14:32 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Nov, 14:08 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 13:52 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Nov, 13:23 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 12:29 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 11:19 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Nov, 10:39 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 10:17 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Nov, 08:14 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 07:38 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Nov, 07:02 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 06:55 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Nov, 06:26 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 05:57 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 05:02 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Nov, 04:47 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 04:19 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 03:37 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Nov, 03:23 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 02:47 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Nov, 02:24 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 01:49 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 01:06 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Nov, 00:59 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 00:23 UTC | 9% |
| 4 Nov, 23:40 UTC | 10% |
| 4 Nov, 23:04 UTC | 9% |
| 4 Nov, 22:49 UTC | 9% |
| 4 Nov, 22:05 UTC | 8% |
| 4 Nov, 21:58 UTC | 9% |
| 4 Nov, 21:18 UTC | 9% |
| 4 Nov, 20:30 UTC | 8% |
| 4 Nov, 20:23 UTC | 9% |
| 4 Nov, 19:49 UTC | 9% |
| 4 Nov, 19:19 UTC | 9% |
| 4 Nov, 18:57 UTC | 10% |
| 4 Nov, 18:27 UTC | 11% |
| 4 Nov, 17:42 UTC | 12% |
| 4 Nov, 17:27 UTC | 11% |
| 4 Nov, 16:49 UTC | 8% |
| 4 Nov, 16:27 UTC | 6% |
| 4 Nov, 15:50 UTC | 10% |
| 4 Nov, 15:28 UTC | 8% |
| 4 Nov, 14:59 UTC | 13% |
| 4 Nov, 14:16 UTC | 12% |
| 4 Nov, 13:53 UTC | 13% |
| 4 Nov, 13:24 UTC | 12% |
| 4 Nov, 12:47 UTC | 13% |
| 4 Nov, 12:17 UTC | 13% |
| 4 Nov, 10:58 UTC | 13% |
| 4 Nov, 10:29 UTC | 13% |
| 4 Nov, 09:57 UTC | 12% |
| 4 Nov, 09:21 UTC | 13% |
| 4 Nov, 08:24 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Nov, 07:56 UTC | 13% |
| 4 Nov, 07:20 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Nov, 06:57 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Nov, 06:21 UTC | 15% |
| 4 Nov, 05:39 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Nov, 05:17 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | 15% |
| 4 Nov, 04:25 UTC | 16% |
| 4 Nov, 03:55 UTC | 17% |
| 4 Nov, 03:18 UTC | 16% |
| 4 Nov, 02:56 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Nov, 02:26 UTC | 13% |
| 4 Nov, 01:49 UTC | 16% |
| 4 Nov, 01:27 UTC | 13% |
| 4 Nov, 00:43 UTC | 15% |
| 4 Nov, 00:29 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Nov, 23:53 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Nov, 23:24 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Nov, 22:56 UTC | 19% |
| 3 Nov, 22:19 UTC | 20% |
| 3 Nov, 21:49 UTC | 19% |
| 3 Nov, 20:56 UTC | 19% |
| 3 Nov, 19:50 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Nov, 19:29 UTC | 19% |
| 3 Nov, 18:59 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Nov, 18:29 UTC | 19% |
| 3 Nov, 17:26 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Nov, 16:40 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Nov, 16:26 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Nov, 15:57 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Nov, 15:29 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Nov, 14:53 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Nov, 14:25 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Nov, 13:48 UTC | 16% |
| 3 Nov, 13:04 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Nov, 12:28 UTC | 16% |
| 3 Nov, 11:27 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Nov, 09:47 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Nov, 08:59 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Nov, 08:17 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Nov, 07:20 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Nov, 06:44 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Nov, 06:23 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Nov, 05:39 UTC | 16% |
| 3 Nov, 05:25 UTC | 15% |
| 3 Nov, 04:57 UTC | 15% |
| 3 Nov, 04:29 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Nov, 03:40 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Nov, 03:19 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Nov, 02:58 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Nov, 02:08 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Nov, 01:54 UTC | 16% |
| 3 Nov, 01:24 UTC | 15% |
| 3 Nov, 00:55 UTC | 16% |
| 3 Nov, 00:26 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 23:51 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 22:31 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 22:24 UTC | 18% |
| 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | 18% |
| 2 Nov, 21:12 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 20:51 UTC | 18% |
| 2 Nov, 20:01 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 19:54 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 19:18 UTC | 18% |
| 2 Nov, 18:42 UTC | 19% |
| 2 Nov, 18:19 UTC | 20% |
| 2 Nov, 17:56 UTC | 24% |
| 2 Nov, 17:26 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 16:49 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 16:27 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 15:42 UTC | 18% |
| 2 Nov, 15:27 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 14:49 UTC | 16% |
| 2 Nov, 14:19 UTC | 18% |
| 2 Nov, 13:48 UTC | 19% |
| 2 Nov, 13:26 UTC | 18% |
| 2 Nov, 12:56 UTC | 19% |
| 2 Nov, 11:29 UTC | 19% |
| 2 Nov, 10:14 UTC | 20% |
| 2 Nov, 09:52 UTC | 19% |
| 2 Nov, 08:57 UTC | 19% |
| 2 Nov, 07:47 UTC | 16% |
| 2 Nov, 07:25 UTC | 20% |
| 2 Nov, 06:56 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 06:21 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 05:53 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 05:09 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 04:11 UTC | 18% |
| 2 Nov, 03:42 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 02:58 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 02:08 UTC | 16% |
| 2 Nov, 01:53 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 01:24 UTC | 16% |
| 2 Nov, 00:40 UTC | 16% |
| 1 Nov, 23:57 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Nov, 23:22 UTC | 13% |
| 1 Nov, 22:39 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Nov, 22:24 UTC | 12% |
| 1 Nov, 21:41 UTC | 12% |
| 1 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 15% |
| 1 Nov, 20:43 UTC | 16% |
| 1 Nov, 19:52 UTC | 17% |
| 1 Nov, 19:23 UTC | 16% |
| 1 Nov, 18:54 UTC | 16% |
| 1 Nov, 17:42 UTC | 18% |
| 1 Nov, 17:27 UTC | 18% |
| 1 Nov, 16:58 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Nov, 16:22 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Nov, 15:46 UTC | 18% |
| 1 Nov, 15:24 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Nov, 14:30 UTC | 18% |
| 1 Nov, 14:23 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Nov, 13:46 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Nov, 13:24 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Nov, 11:40 UTC | 18% |
| 1 Nov, 11:19 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Nov, 10:21 UTC | 18% |
| 1 Nov, 09:35 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Nov, 09:28 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Nov, 07:04 UTC | 18% |
| 1 Nov, 06:57 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Nov, 06:22 UTC | 18% |
| 1 Nov, 05:54 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Nov, 05:25 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Nov, 03:40 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Nov, 03:19 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Nov, 02:29 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Nov, 01:52 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Nov, 01:10 UTC | 18% |
| 1 Nov, 00:56 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Nov, 00:28 UTC | 18% |
| 31 Oct, 23:46 UTC | 19% |
| 31 Oct, 23:17 UTC | 19% |
| 31 Oct, 22:50 UTC | 19% |
| 31 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 19% |
| 31 Oct, 21:31 UTC | 18% |
| 31 Oct, 21:17 UTC | 19% |
| 31 Oct, 20:43 UTC | 18% |
| 31 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 19:39 UTC | 19% |
| 31 Oct, 19:24 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 17:49 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 17:06 UTC | 19% |
| 31 Oct, 16:29 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 15:59 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 14:31 UTC | 19% |
| 31 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 13:46 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 13:09 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 11:42 UTC | 19% |
| 31 Oct, 10:38 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 10:13 UTC | 19% |
| 31 Oct, 09:52 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 08:35 UTC | 19% |
| 31 Oct, 07:32 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 07:18 UTC | 19% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Benjamin Netanyahu becomes Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before October 27, 2027. The outcome is No if he does not meet these conditions by that deadline. Readers often mistake the date of his UN General Assembly speech for the resolution deadline.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 7%
- No 93%