Apple iPhone Duo Supply Constraints Persist as Demand Surges
Apple cannot predict when supply will meet demand for the foldable iPhone Duo, while manufacturers ramp up production and analysts note strong initial interest despite durability concerns.
John Ternus
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Coverage vs. odds, last two weeks
How much the press wrote about John Ternus each day, and what its busiest market did over the same days.
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 53% |
| 4 Nov, 15:21 UTC | 54% |
| 4 Nov, 14:59 UTC | 51% |
| 4 Nov, 14:01 UTC | 41% |
| 4 Nov, 13:53 UTC | 41% |
| 4 Nov, 13:24 UTC | 41% |
| 4 Nov, 12:54 UTC | 38% |
| 4 Nov, 12:09 UTC | 37% |
| 4 Nov, 11:40 UTC | 37% |
| 4 Nov, 10:44 UTC | 37% |
| 4 Nov, 10:05 UTC | 37% |
| 4 Nov, 09:57 UTC | 37% |
| 4 Nov, 09:14 UTC | 38% |
| 4 Nov, 08:10 UTC | 36% |
| 4 Nov, 05:31 UTC | 36% |
| 4 Nov, 03:03 UTC | 36% |
| 4 Nov, 02:41 UTC | 36% |
| 4 Nov, 02:19 UTC | 36% |
| 3 Nov, 19:21 UTC | 36% |
| 3 Nov, 17:26 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 15:07 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 13:18 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 12:36 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 12:28 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 11:13 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 10:45 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 10:16 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 09:54 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 09:27 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 08:46 UTC | 36% |
| 3 Nov, 07:26 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 04:43 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 04:22 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 03:40 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 02:51 UTC | 36% |
| 3 Nov, 02:23 UTC | 36% |
| 3 Nov, 01:46 UTC | 36% |
| 3 Nov, 00:55 UTC | 36% |
| 3 Nov, 00:26 UTC | 36% |
| 2 Nov, 23:08 UTC | 36% |
| 2 Nov, 22:39 UTC | 38% |
| 2 Nov, 22:24 UTC | 36% |
| 2 Nov, 21:55 UTC | 36% |
| 2 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 39% |
| 2 Nov, 20:51 UTC | 40% |
| 2 Nov, 20:08 UTC | 39% |
| 2 Nov, 19:47 UTC | 39% |
| 2 Nov, 19:26 UTC | 40% |
| 2 Nov, 18:42 UTC | 38% |
| 2 Nov, 18:27 UTC | 38% |
| 2 Nov, 17:41 UTC | 37% |
| 2 Nov, 16:49 UTC | 36% |
| 2 Nov, 16:27 UTC | 36% |
| 2 Nov, 15:56 UTC | 36% |
| 2 Nov, 15:27 UTC | 36% |
| 2 Nov, 14:56 UTC | 37% |
| 2 Nov, 13:26 UTC | 41% |
| 2 Nov, 12:12 UTC | 41% |
| 2 Nov, 11:57 UTC | 41% |
| 2 Nov, 11:22 UTC | 41% |
| 2 Nov, 10:43 UTC | 41% |
| 2 Nov, 10:28 UTC | 41% |
| 2 Nov, 09:52 UTC | 40% |
| 2 Nov, 09:25 UTC | 41% |
| 2 Nov, 08:43 UTC | 41% |
| 2 Nov, 08:29 UTC | 41% |
| 2 Nov, 07:54 UTC | 40% |
| 2 Nov, 07:25 UTC | 40% |
| 2 Nov, 06:56 UTC | 41% |
| 2 Nov, 06:07 UTC | 41% |
| 2 Nov, 05:39 UTC | 43% |
| 2 Nov, 04:33 UTC | 43% |
| 2 Nov, 04:11 UTC | 43% |
| 2 Nov, 03:42 UTC | 44% |
| 2 Nov, 03:13 UTC | 44% |
| 2 Nov, 02:58 UTC | 44% |
| 2 Nov, 02:15 UTC | 44% |
| 2 Nov, 01:46 UTC | 44% |
| 2 Nov, 00:40 UTC | 44% |
| 2 Nov, 00:19 UTC | 44% |
| 1 Nov, 23:50 UTC | 44% |
| 1 Nov, 22:46 UTC | 44% |
| 1 Nov, 20:43 UTC | 44% |
| 1 Nov, 20:14 UTC | 44% |
| 1 Nov, 19:52 UTC | 44% |
| 1 Nov, 19:16 UTC | 44% |
| 1 Nov, 17:42 UTC | 44% |
| 1 Nov, 17:20 UTC | 44% |
| 1 Nov, 16:58 UTC | 44% |
| 1 Nov, 14:30 UTC | 44% |
| 1 Nov, 14:23 UTC | 44% |
| 1 Nov, 13:46 UTC | 44% |
| 1 Nov, 13:24 UTC | 44% |
| 1 Nov, 12:55 UTC | 44% |
| 1 Nov, 11:40 UTC | 44% |
| 1 Nov, 11:19 UTC | 44% |
| 1 Nov, 07:25 UTC | 44% |
| 1 Nov, 06:57 UTC | 44% |
| 1 Nov, 05:33 UTC | 44% |
| 1 Nov, 04:43 UTC | 42% |
| 1 Nov, 03:04 UTC | 40% |
| 1 Nov, 02:43 UTC | 40% |
| 1 Nov, 01:17 UTC | 40% |
| 1 Nov, 00:56 UTC | 43% |
| 1 Nov, 00:28 UTC | 44% |
| 31 Oct, 23:53 UTC | 44% |
| 31 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 44% |
| 31 Oct, 21:39 UTC | 44% |
| 31 Oct, 21:24 UTC | 44% |
| 31 Oct, 20:43 UTC | 43% |
| 31 Oct, 20:07 UTC | 43% |
| 31 Oct, 19:46 UTC | 43% |
| 31 Oct, 19:24 UTC | 43% |
| 31 Oct, 18:48 UTC | 43% |
| 31 Oct, 18:11 UTC | 43% |
| 31 Oct, 17:49 UTC | 43% |
| 31 Oct, 17:21 UTC | 42% |
| 31 Oct, 15:59 UTC | 42% |
| 31 Oct, 15:22 UTC | 42% |
| 31 Oct, 14:53 UTC | 42% |
| 31 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 41% |
| 31 Oct, 13:16 UTC | 41% |
| 31 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 41% |
| 31 Oct, 11:57 UTC | 41% |
| 31 Oct, 11:06 UTC | 40% |
| 31 Oct, 10:59 UTC | 41% |
| 31 Oct, 09:45 UTC | 44% |
| 31 Oct, 06:36 UTC | 44% |
| 31 Oct, 05:19 UTC | 43% |
| 31 Oct, 04:57 UTC | 43% |
| 31 Oct, 04:07 UTC | 44% |
| 31 Oct, 03:52 UTC | 44% |
| 31 Oct, 00:57 UTC | 44% |
| 30 Oct, 23:16 UTC | 44% |
| 30 Oct, 22:54 UTC | 44% |
| 30 Oct, 22:26 UTC | 44% |
| 30 Oct, 21:53 UTC | 43% |
| 30 Oct, 21:24 UTC | 44% |
| 30 Oct, 20:44 UTC | 45% |
| 30 Oct, 20:29 UTC | 45% |
| 30 Oct, 19:53 UTC | 45% |
| 30 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 42% |
| 30 Oct, 18:44 UTC | 48% |
| 30 Oct, 18:10 UTC | 48% |
| 30 Oct, 17:56 UTC | 47% |
| 30 Oct, 17:27 UTC | 44% |
| 30 Oct, 16:54 UTC | 43% |
| 30 Oct, 16:25 UTC | 43% |
| 30 Oct, 15:50 UTC | 45% |
| 30 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 45% |
| 30 Oct, 14:58 UTC | 45% |
| 30 Oct, 13:50 UTC | 44% |
| 30 Oct, 13:20 UTC | 40% |
| 30 Oct, 12:59 UTC | 40% |
| 30 Oct, 12:24 UTC | 40% |
| 30 Oct, 11:59 UTC | 41% |
| 30 Oct, 11:24 UTC | 41% |
| 30 Oct, 10:50 UTC | 41% |
| 30 Oct, 10:28 UTC | 42% |
| 30 Oct, 09:58 UTC | 45% |
| 30 Oct, 09:22 UTC | 45% |
| 30 Oct, 07:55 UTC | 45% |
| 30 Oct, 07:28 UTC | 45% |
| 30 Oct, 06:14 UTC | 45% |
| 30 Oct, 05:56 UTC | 45% |
| 30 Oct, 05:08 UTC | 45% |
| 30 Oct, 04:29 UTC | 45% |
| 30 Oct, 03:47 UTC | 45% |
| 30 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 43% |
| 30 Oct, 02:48 UTC | 42% |
| 30 Oct, 02:16 UTC | 42% |
| 30 Oct, 01:55 UTC | 43% |
| 30 Oct, 01:28 UTC | 42% |
| 30 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 41% |
| 30 Oct, 00:21 UTC | 40% |
| 29 Oct, 23:47 UTC | 35% |
| 29 Oct, 23:04 UTC | 32% |
| 29 Oct, 22:57 UTC | 31% |
| 29 Oct, 22:10 UTC | 32% |
| 29 Oct, 21:55 UTC | 32% |
| 29 Oct, 21:14 UTC | 37% |
| 29 Oct, 20:53 UTC | 36% |
| 29 Oct, 20:24 UTC | 34% |
| 29 Oct, 19:57 UTC | 32% |
| 29 Oct, 19:29 UTC | 32% |
| 29 Oct, 17:46 UTC | 32% |
| 29 Oct, 17:11 UTC | 32% |
| 29 Oct, 16:15 UTC | 32% |
| 29 Oct, 15:53 UTC | 32% |
| 29 Oct, 15:22 UTC | 33% |
| 29 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 31% |
| 29 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 35% |
| 29 Oct, 13:46 UTC | 38% |
| 29 Oct, 13:07 UTC | 33% |
| 29 Oct, 12:59 UTC | 33% |
| 29 Oct, 12:18 UTC | 34% |
| 29 Oct, 09:55 UTC | 33% |
| 29 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 33% |
| 29 Oct, 08:43 UTC | 33% |
| 29 Oct, 08:19 UTC | 33% |
| 29 Oct, 07:51 UTC | 33% |
| 29 Oct, 07:26 UTC | 33% |
| 29 Oct, 06:44 UTC | 33% |
| 29 Oct, 06:11 UTC | 30% |
| 29 Oct, 05:58 UTC | 29% |
| 29 Oct, 05:29 UTC | 29% |
| 29 Oct, 04:56 UTC | 28% |
| 29 Oct, 04:28 UTC | 28% |
| 29 Oct, 02:53 UTC | 27% |
| 29 Oct, 02:27 UTC | 28% |
| 29 Oct, 01:59 UTC | 28% |
| 29 Oct, 01:18 UTC | 28% |
| 29 Oct, 00:55 UTC | 28% |
| 29 Oct, 00:20 UTC | 28% |
| 28 Oct, 23:54 UTC | 28% |
| 28 Oct, 23:26 UTC | 28% |
| 28 Oct, 22:39 UTC | 28% |
| 28 Oct, 22:25 UTC | 28% |
| 28 Oct, 21:30 UTC | 28% |
| 28 Oct, 21:15 UTC | 28% |
| 28 Oct, 20:59 UTC | 27% |
| 28 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 23% |
| 28 Oct, 19:55 UTC | 23% |
| 28 Oct, 19:26 UTC | 23% |
| 28 Oct, 18:59 UTC | 23% |
| 28 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 23% |
| 28 Oct, 17:47 UTC | 22% |
| 28 Oct, 16:59 UTC | 23% |
Stories
Apple Posts Record Revenue Under New CEO John Ternus Amid China Sales Miss Hot: Odds moved 18 points in 24 hours
Apple reported record fiscal fourth-quarter revenue driven by strong iPhone and services sales, though profits faced pressure from rising component costs and weaker-than-expected performance in China.
Polymarket Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? 49% −7Apple CEO John Ternus Reports Record Sales Amid Rising Memory Costs Hot: Odds moved 18 points in 24 hours
New chief executive John Ternus guided the company to beat revenue estimates while navigating surging memory chip prices that squeezed profit margins.
Polymarket Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? 49% −7