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Strait of Hormuz

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Markets on Strait of Hormuz

Coverage vs. odds, last two weeks

How much the press wrote about Strait of Hormuz each day, and what its busiest market did over the same days.

10 0 25 Oct: 7 articles 26 Oct: 8 articles 27 Oct: 5 articles 28 Oct: 6 articles 29 Oct: 6 articles 30 Oct: 10 articles 31 Oct: 7 articles 1 Nov: 0 articles 2 Nov: 0 articles 3 Nov: 0 articles 4 Nov: 0 articles 5 Nov: 0 articles 6 Nov: 0 articles 7 Nov: 0 articles 25 Oct1 Nov7 Nov
49 articles in 14 days, per day.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

How the odds moved · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
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Price data
TimeChance of yes
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Stories

Iran Claims Tankers Hit by Mines in Strait of Hormuz as Treasury Report Cites Economic Pressure Hot: $51k traded on its market in 24 hours

Iran's IRGC reports four tankers struck by mines in the Strait of Hormuz, while a U.S. Treasury report claims sanctions are decimating Tehran's economy.

world 30 sources

Polymarket Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026? 87% +1