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How much the press wrote about Flávio Bolsonaro each day, and what its busiest market did over the same days.
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 23:45 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 19:15 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 18:04 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 17:06 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 16:59 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 16:17 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 15:54 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 13:47 UTC | 0% |
| 26 Oct, 08:09 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 07:24 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 18:18 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 13:49 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 12:49 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 12:03 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 10:42 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 08:39 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 07:53 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 04:12 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 03:44 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 02:00 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 01:08 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 22:12 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 21:44 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 13:00 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 07:26 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 06:53 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 02:33 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 01:18 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 00:55 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 00:09 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 23:48 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 22:46 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 22:25 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 21:16 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 20:13 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 19:44 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 18:49 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 17:31 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 17:16 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 16:54 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 13:04 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 12:43 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 10:02 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 09:54 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 08:22 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 07:36 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 07:22 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 03:16 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 16:43 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 12:00 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Oct, 10:35 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 1% |
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva secures a fourth term in Brazil, prompting Donald Trump to claim the vote was rigged and a supreme court order for rival Flávio Bolsonaro to surrender his passports.
Lula secures a fourth term after a historic comeback in the runoff, while Bolsonaro challenges the result.
Kalshi Lula, Eizenkot, Democrats 48% +4The electoral authority pauses ballot counting as polls remain open following the judicial directive.
Resolved Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad? No 12d ago Required. We use your browser's storage to remember this choice, your light or dark
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