Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥13%
The market favoured Yes at 52% a day out, but No won. How often it's right
Final probability 1%
24-hour volume$233
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolved25 Oct 2027
Why it moved: −51 points at 21:25 UTC, after France 24 - Noticias y actualidad internacional en vivo: Lula gana las elecciones en Brasil, pero se enfrenta a un complejo panorama para gobernar — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 21:25 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 01:36 UTC | 52% |
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%