Rubio Urges Lebanon to Resist Hezbollah Over Seized Explosives
The US Secretary of State presses the Lebanese president not to return a truck of explosives intercepted by security forces.
Lebanon
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Markets on Lebanon
Coverage vs. odds, last two weeks
How much the press wrote about Lebanon each day, and what its busiest market did over the same days.
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 16 Oct, 15:59 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Oct, 14:08 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Oct, 13:45 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Oct, 13:24 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Oct, 12:56 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Oct, 12:19 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Oct, 11:58 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Oct, 11:02 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Oct, 10:55 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Oct, 10:14 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Oct, 09:54 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Oct, 09:12 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Oct, 08:59 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Oct, 08:13 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Oct, 07:53 UTC | 4% |
| 16 Oct, 07:24 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Oct, 06:56 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Oct, 06:29 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Oct, 05:48 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Oct, 05:21 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Oct, 03:36 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Oct, 03:29 UTC | 4% |
| 16 Oct, 02:55 UTC | 4% |
| 16 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Oct, 01:15 UTC | 4% |
| 16 Oct, 00:48 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Oct, 00:09 UTC | 5% |
| 15 Oct, 23:28 UTC | 5% |
| 15 Oct, 22:36 UTC | 5% |
| 15 Oct, 22:29 UTC | 5% |
| 15 Oct, 21:27 UTC | 5% |
| 15 Oct, 19:28 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Oct, 17:25 UTC | 5% |
| 15 Oct, 12:37 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Oct, 12:23 UTC | 5% |
| 15 Oct, 11:53 UTC | 5% |
| 15 Oct, 08:57 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Oct, 08:16 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Oct, 07:55 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 07:06 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 04:22 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 03:48 UTC | 3% |
| 14 Oct, 05:56 UTC | 3% |
| 13 Oct, 17:35 UTC | 3% |
| 13 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 3% |
| 12 Oct, 12:18 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 23:04 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 22:39 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 22:19 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 21:47 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 21:25 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 18:01 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 17:34 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 17:27 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 16:54 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 16:15 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 15:08 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 13:36 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 13:28 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 12:54 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 12:27 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 11:54 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 11:18 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 09:55 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 09:28 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 08:43 UTC | 2% |
| 10 Oct, 08:24 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 07:57 UTC | 2% |
| 10 Oct, 07:24 UTC | 2% |
| 10 Oct, 06:57 UTC | 2% |
| 10 Oct, 02:39 UTC | 5% |
| 10 Oct, 00:59 UTC | 5% |
| 10 Oct, 00:12 UTC | 5% |
| 9 Oct, 18:20 UTC | 5% |
| 9 Oct, 17:46 UTC | 5% |
Stories
Qatar FM Calls for Israeli Withdrawal from Lebanon
The Qatari foreign minister reaffirms support for Beirut while urging Israel to withdraw its forces from Lebanese territory.
Polymarket Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? 5%Israeli Firms Placed Spyware on Al Jazeera Devices via Ads
Citizen Lab researchers found that two Israeli companies manipulated online advertisements to install surveillance software on dozens of Al Jazeera devices.