At least 2
Implied probability 99%+43
24-hour volume$9k
Total volume$10k
Liquidity$10k
Resolves3 Feb 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 11:05 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 10:05 UTC | 98% |
| 4 Nov, 03:03 UTC | 86% |
| 3 Nov, 23:46 UTC | 59% |
| 3 Nov, 20:12 UTC | 51% |
| 2 Nov, 19:33 UTC | 56% |
| 1 Nov, 05:47 UTC | 49% |
| 29 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 54% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Democratic nominees win two or more statewide races in Texas during the November 3, 2026 general election. It resolves to No if they win fewer than two. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the resolution deadline.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%