Volodymyr Zelenskyy
Implied probability 36%+6
24-hour volume$332
Total volume$9k
Liquidity$9k
Resolves1 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 36% |
| 21 Oct, 22:02 UTC | 36% |
| 21 Oct, 19:17 UTC | 33% |
| 21 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 30% |
| 21 Oct, 02:55 UTC | 31% |
| 21 Oct, 02:13 UTC | 30% |
| 21 Oct, 00:22 UTC | 31% |
| 20 Oct, 22:17 UTC | 33% |
| 20 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 35% |
| 20 Oct, 15:01 UTC | 37% |
| 20 Oct, 13:45 UTC | 40% |
| 20 Oct, 11:36 UTC | 36% |
| 20 Oct, 08:23 UTC | 35% |
| 20 Oct, 06:36 UTC | 36% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 37% |
| 18 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 50% |
| 18 Oct, 15:59 UTC | 51% |
| 18 Oct, 15:08 UTC | 53% |
| 18 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 54% |
| 18 Oct, 12:21 UTC | 49% |
| 17 Oct, 19:44 UTC | 50% |
| 17 Oct, 13:34 UTC | 56% |
| 17 Oct, 06:47 UTC | 59% |
| 16 Oct, 21:09 UTC | 63% |
| 16 Oct, 20:34 UTC | 57% |
| 16 Oct, 19:13 UTC | 58% |
| 16 Oct, 16:13 UTC | 60% |
| 16 Oct, 14:16 UTC | 64% |
| 16 Oct, 11:30 UTC | 61% |
| 16 Oct, 10:35 UTC | 55% |
| 16 Oct, 00:41 UTC | 57% |
| 15 Oct, 20:52 UTC | 49% |
| 15 Oct, 10:38 UTC | 50% |
| 15 Oct, 05:09 UTC | 51% |
| 15 Oct, 04:22 UTC | 50% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Donald Trump meet or speak by phone in October 2026. It resolves to No if they do not have such contact during that month. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking the event must happen before October 2026 rather than within it.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 36%
- No 64%