Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
Implied probability 63%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$13k
Liquidity$13k
Resolves7 May 2029
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan wins the first round of the next Turkish presidential election. It resolves to No if he does not win that specific round. Readers often mistake the final winner of the entire election process for the person who must win just the first round.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 63%
- No 37%