USA
Implied probability 3%
24-hour volume$23
Total volume$90k
Liquidity$90k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Pope Leo XIV physically enters and stays within the borders of the United States before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake a visit to France for a visit to the United States.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 3%
- No 97%