Hakeem Jeffries
Implied probability 91%−4
24-hour volume$129k
Total volume$328k
Liquidity$328k
Resolves1 Jan 2031
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 91% |
| 7 Nov, 07:00 UTC | 91% |
| 7 Nov, 06:53 UTC | 91% |
| 7 Nov, 05:37 UTC | 91% |
| 7 Nov, 05:09 UTC | 91% |
| 7 Nov, 04:47 UTC | 91% |
| 7 Nov, 04:19 UTC | 91% |
| 7 Nov, 03:52 UTC | 90% |
| 7 Nov, 03:01 UTC | 92% |
| 7 Nov, 02:53 UTC | 91% |
| 7 Nov, 01:27 UTC | 92% |
| 7 Nov, 00:59 UTC | 93% |
| 7 Nov, 00:23 UTC | 93% |
| 6 Nov, 23:47 UTC | 93% |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | 93% |
| 6 Nov, 22:49 UTC | 93% |
| 6 Nov, 22:21 UTC | 94% |
| 6 Nov, 21:59 UTC | 94% |
| 6 Nov, 21:23 UTC | 94% |
| 6 Nov, 20:53 UTC | 95% |
| 6 Nov, 20:02 UTC | 94% |
| 6 Nov, 19:40 UTC | 94% |
| 6 Nov, 19:25 UTC | 94% |
| 6 Nov, 18:56 UTC | 94% |
| 6 Nov, 18:19 UTC | 93% |
| 6 Nov, 17:50 UTC | 94% |
| 6 Nov, 17:27 UTC | 91% |
| 6 Nov, 16:57 UTC | 93% |
| 6 Nov, 16:13 UTC | 93% |
| 6 Nov, 15:51 UTC | 96% |
| 6 Nov, 15:29 UTC | 94% |
| 6 Nov, 14:56 UTC | 96% |
| 6 Nov, 10:35 UTC | 95% |
| 6 Nov, 09:44 UTC | 95% |
| 6 Nov, 08:55 UTC | 95% |
| 6 Nov, 08:13 UTC | 95% |
| 6 Nov, 07:45 UTC | 95% |
| 6 Nov, 07:24 UTC | 95% |
| 6 Nov, 06:28 UTC | 95% |
| 6 Nov, 05:46 UTC | 95% |
| 6 Nov, 05:25 UTC | 95% |
| 6 Nov, 04:56 UTC | 94% |
| 6 Nov, 04:27 UTC | 94% |
| 6 Nov, 03:58 UTC | 94% |
| 6 Nov, 03:23 UTC | 94% |
| 6 Nov, 02:52 UTC | 94% |
| 6 Nov, 01:45 UTC | 95% |
| 6 Nov, 01:17 UTC | 96% |
| 6 Nov, 00:55 UTC | 96% |
| 5 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 93% |
| 5 Nov, 20:35 UTC | 90% |
| 5 Nov, 20:27 UTC | 91% |
| 5 Nov, 19:50 UTC | 94% |
| 5 Nov, 19:29 UTC | 92% |
| 5 Nov, 18:28 UTC | 93% |
| 5 Nov, 17:58 UTC | 92% |
| 5 Nov, 17:20 UTC | 95% |
| 5 Nov, 16:58 UTC | 95% |
| 5 Nov, 16:29 UTC | 94% |
| 5 Nov, 15:57 UTC | 93% |
| 5 Nov, 15:25 UTC | 89% |
| 5 Nov, 14:47 UTC | 92% |
| 5 Nov, 13:52 UTC | 79% |
| 5 Nov, 13:23 UTC | 80% |
| 5 Nov, 12:52 UTC | 81% |
| 5 Nov, 12:29 UTC | 77% |
| 5 Nov, 11:56 UTC | 81% |
| 5 Nov, 11:26 UTC | 79% |
| 5 Nov, 07:52 UTC | 82% |
| 5 Nov, 07:24 UTC | 86% |
| 5 Nov, 06:55 UTC | 87% |
| 5 Nov, 06:19 UTC | 86% |
| 5 Nov, 05:23 UTC | 84% |
| 5 Nov, 04:40 UTC | 82% |
| 5 Nov, 04:26 UTC | 86% |
| 5 Nov, 03:37 UTC | 81% |
| 5 Nov, 03:23 UTC | 91% |
| 5 Nov, 02:47 UTC | 91% |
| 5 Nov, 02:24 UTC | 82% |
| 5 Nov, 01:56 UTC | 80% |
| 5 Nov, 01:28 UTC | 75% |
| 5 Nov, 00:44 UTC | 74% |
| 5 Nov, 00:16 UTC | 73% |
| 4 Nov, 23:47 UTC | 73% |
| 4 Nov, 23:25 UTC | 74% |
| 4 Nov, 22:49 UTC | 81% |
| 4 Nov, 22:13 UTC | 80% |
| 4 Nov, 21:34 UTC | 90% |
| 4 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 90% |
| 4 Nov, 20:52 UTC | 88% |
| 4 Nov, 20:14 UTC | 89% |
| 4 Nov, 19:35 UTC | 90% |
| 4 Nov, 19:19 UTC | 95% |
| 4 Nov, 18:57 UTC | 96% |
| 4 Nov, 18:27 UTC | 94% |
| 4 Nov, 17:56 UTC | 92% |
| 4 Nov, 17:27 UTC | 89% |
| 4 Nov, 16:35 UTC | 90% |
| 4 Nov, 16:20 UTC | 90% |
| 4 Nov, 15:50 UTC | 90% |
| 4 Nov, 15:28 UTC | 90% |
| 4 Nov, 14:59 UTC | 87% |
| 4 Nov, 14:23 UTC | 86% |
| 4 Nov, 13:46 UTC | 85% |
| 4 Nov, 13:24 UTC | 86% |
| 4 Nov, 12:47 UTC | 87% |
| 4 Nov, 11:47 UTC | 86% |
| 4 Nov, 10:51 UTC | 83% |
| 4 Nov, 10:21 UTC | 86% |
| 4 Nov, 09:50 UTC | 81% |
| 4 Nov, 08:03 UTC | 87% |
| 4 Nov, 07:56 UTC | 85% |
| 4 Nov, 07:20 UTC | 81% |
| 4 Nov, 06:50 UTC | 79% |
| 4 Nov, 05:39 UTC | 88% |
| 4 Nov, 05:17 UTC | 83% |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | 82% |
| 4 Nov, 03:33 UTC | 85% |
| 4 Nov, 03:26 UTC | 86% |
| 4 Nov, 02:49 UTC | 84% |
| 4 Nov, 02:12 UTC | 74% |
| 4 Nov, 01:57 UTC | 92% |
| 3 Nov, 23:17 UTC | 92% |
| 3 Nov, 22:34 UTC | 91% |
| 3 Nov, 02:44 UTC | 90% |
| 2 Nov, 17:19 UTC | 90% |
| 2 Nov, 15:56 UTC | 91% |
| 2 Nov, 13:18 UTC | 91% |
| 1 Nov, 21:34 UTC | 90% |
| 1 Nov, 05:33 UTC | 88% |
| 31 Oct, 14:38 UTC | 89% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Hakeem Jeffries becomes Speaker of the House before January 1, 2031, and he was not previously Speaker. The outcome is No if he does not hold that position by the deadline or held it earlier than Mike Johnson. Readers often mistake the linked news story about an endorsement for the actual event required for resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 91%
- No 9%