Elon Musk
Implied probability 9%−2
24-hour volume$10
Total volume$48k
Liquidity$48k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 9% |
| 23 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 9% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 11% |
| 18 Oct, 19:03 UTC | 6% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Elon Musk holds the title of CEO for X before January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if he does not hold that title by that date. Readers often mistake the linked news story about pricing changes as a confirmation of his employment status.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 9%
- No 91%