Shohei Ohtani
Implied probability 97%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$5k
Resolves8 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 97% |
| 23 Oct, 04:57 UTC | 97% |
| 23 Oct, 03:41 UTC | 70% |
| 20 Oct, 16:49 UTC | 75% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 99% |
| 18 Oct, 02:31 UTC | 76% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Shohei Ohtani is named a finalist for the 2026 National League MVP award. It resolves to No if he does not receive that selection. Readers often mistake the date of the linked game or his performance in it as the deciding factor, but only the official MVP finalist announcement matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 97%
- No 3%