Mike Johnson
Implied probability 2%−17
24-hour volume$862
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$5k
Resolves30 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 15:06 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 14:37 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Nov, 14:23 UTC | 11% |
| 4 Nov, 13:46 UTC | 17% |
| 4 Nov, 13:02 UTC | 19% |
| 4 Nov, 12:54 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Nov, 20:01 UTC | 19% |
| 2 Nov, 19:04 UTC | 20% |
| 2 Nov, 17:19 UTC | 21% |
| 31 Oct, 09:16 UTC | 21% |
| 31 Oct, 03:08 UTC | 22% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Mike Johnson wins the House Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress. It resolves to No if he does not win that specific position. Readers often mistake this for a prediction about his overall political career or future leadership roles rather than just this single election outcome.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%