Above 200K
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 76% |
| 31 Oct, 14:47 UTC | 76% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the total number of votes cast by all participants in California's 48th Congressional District House General Election exceeds 200,000. The outcome is No if that total vote count is 200,000 or fewer. Readers often mistakenly believe the deadline for this market is tied to the election day itself, but it resolves based on the final certified vote count from the official state source.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 76%
- No 24%