Above 110
Implied probability 99%
24-hour volume$4k
Total volume$15k
Liquidity$15k
Resolves7 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 28 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 99% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Carbon Arc Eli Lilly Credit Card Spend for October 2026 exceeds 110. It resolves to No if that spend is 110 or lower. Readers often mistake the linked news headline about sales outlooks as the deciding factor, but only the specific credit card spend data matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%