Before March, 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 14% |
| 31 Oct, 21:17 UTC | 14% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if OpenAI releases GPT-7 before March 1, 2027. It resolves to No if that release does not happen within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked story about GPT-6 for the resolution condition, but only a GPT-7 launch counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 14%
- No 86%