2.6% to 3.0%
Implied probability 11%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$19k
Liquidity$19k
Resolves28 Feb 2031
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 11% |
| 29 Oct, 19:35 UTC | 11% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if US real GDP growth in 2030 falls between 2.6% and 3.0%. It resolves to No if the growth rate is outside that range. Readers often mistake the linked story's 2023 data for the final 2030 figure.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 11%
- No 89%