Keisha Lance Bottoms and Jon Ossoff win
The market favoured Yes at 70% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$7k
Total volume$68k
Liquidity$68k
Resolved3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 02:34 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 02:26 UTC | 93% |
| 4 Nov, 01:57 UTC | 94% |
| 4 Nov, 01:27 UTC | 95% |
| 4 Nov, 00:58 UTC | 87% |
| 4 Nov, 00:29 UTC | 74% |
| 3 Nov, 23:53 UTC | 70% |
| 3 Nov, 23:24 UTC | 67% |
| 3 Nov, 21:11 UTC | 71% |
| 3 Nov, 20:49 UTC | 71% |
| 3 Nov, 20:27 UTC | 69% |
| 3 Nov, 17:51 UTC | 66% |
| 3 Nov, 16:55 UTC | 67% |
| 3 Nov, 16:26 UTC | 67% |
| 3 Nov, 14:46 UTC | 67% |
| 3 Nov, 13:04 UTC | 68% |
| 3 Nov, 10:38 UTC | 71% |
| 3 Nov, 05:12 UTC | 70% |
| 3 Nov, 03:33 UTC | 69% |
| 2 Nov, 22:54 UTC | 70% |
| 2 Nov, 21:55 UTC | 69% |
| 2 Nov, 20:01 UTC | 70% |
| 2 Nov, 19:04 UTC | 69% |
| 2 Nov, 18:11 UTC | 71% |
| 2 Nov, 16:42 UTC | 70% |
| 2 Nov, 15:42 UTC | 71% |
| 2 Nov, 03:21 UTC | 69% |
| 2 Nov, 01:46 UTC | 67% |
| 2 Nov, 00:04 UTC | 70% |
| 1 Nov, 22:10 UTC | 68% |
| 1 Nov, 14:01 UTC | 70% |
| 1 Nov, 02:15 UTC | 69% |
| 31 Oct, 19:32 UTC | 68% |
| 31 Oct, 19:24 UTC | 66% |
| 31 Oct, 15:15 UTC | 67% |
| 31 Oct, 14:38 UTC | 66% |
| 31 Oct, 09:52 UTC | 67% |
| 30 Oct, 19:13 UTC | 65% |
| 30 Oct, 15:13 UTC | 66% |
| 30 Oct, 12:45 UTC | 64% |
| 29 Oct, 19:22 UTC | 63% |
| 29 Oct, 18:28 UTC | 62% |
| 28 Oct, 23:33 UTC | 63% |
| 28 Oct, 21:06 UTC | 62% |
| 28 Oct, 14:14 UTC | 63% |
| 28 Oct, 06:20 UTC | 61% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if both the Georgia Governor and Senate races are won by Democratic candidates. It resolves to No if either candidate loses or if a non-Democrat wins. Readers often mistake the linked campaign event as sufficient for resolution, but only the final election results count.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%