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Roadster

Implied probability 89%−5
24-hour volume$126
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves31 Mar 2027

Why it moved: +32 points at 02:09 UTC, after theinformation.com: Tesla Unveils its Next Generation Roadster in Acrobatic Demo — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Roadster
0%50%100%89%15 Oct, 23:28 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now89%
16 Oct, 10:14 UTC89%
16 Oct, 02:09 UTC90%
15 Oct, 23:28 UTC58%

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if a Tesla representative mentions the Roadster during the upcoming earnings call or its question-and-answer session. It resolves to No if that specific mention does not occur within that designated timeframe. Readers often mistake the deadline, assuming any future announcement counts rather than only what happens during this single event.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 89%
  • No 11%

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