Omvoh
The market favoured Yes at 77% a day out, but No won. How often it's right
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 29 Oct, 16:57 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Oct, 15:22 UTC | 1% |
| 29 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 64% |
| 29 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 83% |
| 28 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 84% |
What counts
The outcome is Yes if an Eli Lilly representative mentions Omvoh during the next live earnings call or official broadcast, including the question-and-answer session. The outcome is No if they do not mention it in that specific setting. Readers often mistake any general press release or social media post for a valid source, but only the live call or official broadcast counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%