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Premium (3+ times)

Resolved: Yes 16d ago

The market favoured Yes at 97% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$3k
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolved3 Feb 2027
How the odds moved · Premium (3+ times)
0%50%100%99%21 Oct, 14:06 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now99%
22 Oct, 14:39 UTC99%
21 Oct, 14:06 UTC96%

What counts

The outcome is Yes if any American Airlines Group representative says "Premium" three or more times during the next live earnings call or official broadcast, including the Q&A session. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the source of truth, thinking any mention in news reports counts rather than only spoken words on the official call.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 99%
  • No 1%

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