Nike
Implied probability 28%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 28% |
| 3 Oct, 12:43 UTC | 28% |
| 2 Oct, 18:19 UTC | 34% |
| 2 Oct, 03:02 UTC | 36% |
| 1 Oct, 22:26 UTC | 33% |
| 30 Sept, 06:13 UTC | 39% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 32% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Nike leaves the Dow Jones Industrial Average between June 25, 2026, and January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if it stays in the index during that period. Readers often mistake the news headline for the resolution trigger instead of waiting for an official removal announcement.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 28%
- No 72%