48
Implied probability 94%+13
24-hour volume$607
Total volume$25k
Liquidity$25k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 94% |
| 7 Nov, 02:46 UTC | 88% |
| 6 Nov, 22:49 UTC | 88% |
| 6 Nov, 22:14 UTC | 84% |
| 6 Nov, 20:46 UTC | 88% |
| 6 Nov, 18:56 UTC | 91% |
| 5 Nov, 18:07 UTC | 89% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Democrats win exactly 48 seats in the 2026 U.S. House elections in California; otherwise, it is No. Readers often mistake the total number of seats won for the specific count required or confuse this with other state results. The resolution depends solely on the final certified seat count for that specific election.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 94%
- No 6%