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Amy Acton

Resolved: Yes 3d ago

The market favoured Yes at 82% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$2.0M
Total volume$5.0M
Liquidity$5.0M
Resolved3 Nov 2027
How the odds moved · Amy Acton
0%50%100%100%28 Oct, 12:04 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now100%
4 Nov, 03:18 UTC98%
4 Nov, 02:12 UTC97%
4 Nov, 00:58 UTC92%
3 Nov, 23:46 UTC83%
3 Nov, 22:34 UTC80%
3 Nov, 20:12 UTC81%
3 Nov, 18:59 UTC82%
3 Nov, 03:33 UTC83%
3 Nov, 02:23 UTC84%
3 Nov, 01:17 UTC82%
2 Nov, 17:04 UTC83%
2 Nov, 15:56 UTC82%
2 Nov, 12:34 UTC83%
2 Nov, 11:22 UTC82%
2 Nov, 08:57 UTC81%
2 Nov, 07:47 UTC80%
2 Nov, 01:46 UTC81%
1 Nov, 23:22 UTC80%
1 Nov, 18:33 UTC81%
1 Nov, 13:46 UTC80%
1 Nov, 12:33 UTC79%
1 Nov, 10:06 UTC80%
1 Nov, 08:54 UTC79%
1 Nov, 01:52 UTC80%
31 Oct, 23:31 UTC79%
31 Oct, 22:21 UTC81%
31 Oct, 18:48 UTC80%
31 Oct, 17:34 UTC79%
31 Oct, 14:08 UTC80%
31 Oct, 12:54 UTC79%
31 Oct, 04:35 UTC80%
31 Oct, 03:24 UTC79%
31 Oct, 02:12 UTC80%
31 Oct, 00:57 UTC81%
30 Oct, 23:41 UTC80%
30 Oct, 22:26 UTC81%
30 Oct, 21:09 UTC80%
30 Oct, 14:58 UTC81%
30 Oct, 05:00 UTC82%
30 Oct, 03:47 UTC81%
30 Oct, 02:34 UTC80%
29 Oct, 11:39 UTC81%
29 Oct, 07:51 UTC80%
29 Oct, 05:22 UTC79%
28 Oct, 21:49 UTC80%
28 Oct, 18:14 UTC79%
28 Oct, 13:16 UTC77%
28 Oct, 12:04 UTC76%

What counts

The market resolves to Yes if a Democrat wins and takes office as Ohio's governor in the 2026 election. It resolves to No if any other candidate wins or if no Democratic candidate is inaugurated. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Amy Acton's mother for the actual resolution criteria, but only the official election result matters.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 100%
  • No 0%

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