Will the match end in a draw?
The market favoured No at 76% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$38k
Total volume$75k
Liquidity$25k
Resolved3 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 31 Oct, 15:37 UTC | 0% |
| 31 Oct, 13:38 UTC | 0% |
| 31 Oct, 13:23 UTC | 3% |
| 31 Oct, 12:54 UTC | 5% |
| 31 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 3% |
| 31 Oct, 11:57 UTC | 9% |
| 31 Oct, 11:28 UTC | 3% |
| 31 Oct, 10:59 UTC | 3% |
| 31 Oct, 10:13 UTC | 3% |
| 31 Oct, 09:59 UTC | 11% |
| 31 Oct, 09:24 UTC | 12% |
| 31 Oct, 08:49 UTC | 11% |
| 31 Oct, 08:28 UTC | 16% |
| 31 Oct, 07:53 UTC | 14% |
| 31 Oct, 07:11 UTC | 14% |
| 31 Oct, 06:57 UTC | 14% |
| 31 Oct, 06:29 UTC | 14% |
| 31 Oct, 05:33 UTC | 14% |
| 31 Oct, 01:32 UTC | 16% |
| 30 Oct, 22:07 UTC | 14% |
| 30 Oct, 21:17 UTC | 15% |
| 30 Oct, 20:51 UTC | 15% |
| 30 Oct, 20:22 UTC | 16% |
| 30 Oct, 19:53 UTC | 17% |
| 30 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 15% |
| 30 Oct, 18:58 UTC | 15% |
| 30 Oct, 18:10 UTC | 16% |
| 30 Oct, 17:49 UTC | 17% |
| 30 Oct, 17:20 UTC | 17% |
| 30 Oct, 16:32 UTC | 15% |
| 30 Oct, 16:18 UTC | 14% |
| 30 Oct, 15:50 UTC | 18% |
| 30 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 14% |
| 30 Oct, 14:58 UTC | 49% |
| 30 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 46% |
| 30 Oct, 13:58 UTC | 38% |
| 30 Oct, 13:20 UTC | 33% |
| 30 Oct, 12:59 UTC | 25% |
| 30 Oct, 12:24 UTC | 20% |
| 30 Oct, 11:59 UTC | 13% |
| 30 Oct, 11:24 UTC | 9% |
| 30 Oct, 10:50 UTC | 8% |
| 30 Oct, 10:13 UTC | 8% |
| 30 Oct, 09:58 UTC | 10% |
| 30 Oct, 09:29 UTC | 10% |
| 30 Oct, 08:55 UTC | 9% |
| 30 Oct, 08:22 UTC | 7% |
| 30 Oct, 07:55 UTC | 8% |
| 30 Oct, 07:09 UTC | 10% |
| 30 Oct, 06:35 UTC | 8% |
| 30 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 8% |
| 30 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 8% |
| 29 Oct, 20:16 UTC | 7% |
| 29 Oct, 19:29 UTC | 7% |
| 29 Oct, 18:06 UTC | 6% |
| 29 Oct, 17:04 UTC | 7% |
| 28 Oct, 16:17 UTC | 16% |
| 28 Oct, 15:47 UTC | 17% |
| 28 Oct, 15:26 UTC | 14% |
| 28 Oct, 14:56 UTC | 15% |
| 28 Oct, 14:14 UTC | 14% |
| 28 Oct, 13:57 UTC | 11% |
| 28 Oct, 13:16 UTC | 11% |
| 28 Oct, 12:57 UTC | 14% |
| 28 Oct, 12:29 UTC | 14% |
| 28 Oct, 11:45 UTC | 14% |
| 28 Oct, 11:17 UTC | 14% |
| 28 Oct, 10:56 UTC | 13% |
| 28 Oct, 10:23 UTC | 11% |
| 28 Oct, 09:55 UTC | 15% |
| 28 Oct, 09:10 UTC | 14% |
| 28 Oct, 08:56 UTC | 13% |
| 28 Oct, 05:58 UTC | 13% |
| 28 Oct, 05:03 UTC | 12% |
| 28 Oct, 04:35 UTC | 12% |
| 28 Oct, 04:10 UTC | 12% |
| 28 Oct, 03:22 UTC | 12% |
| 28 Oct, 02:37 UTC | 12% |
| 28 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 12% |
| 27 Oct, 22:23 UTC | 11% |
| 27 Oct, 21:33 UTC | 12% |
| 27 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 11% |
| 27 Oct, 18:05 UTC | 12% |
| 27 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 11% |
| 27 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 12% |
| 26 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 10% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the cricket match ends in a draw or tie with no winner declared. It resolves to No if either team wins, including decisions made by DLS/DRS or on-field tiebreaks like a Super Over. Readers often mistake the linked headline about a series-leveling victory for the resolution of this specific match, but only the final result of the October 27, 2026 fixture counts.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
View this market on Polymarket →