Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?
Implied probability 7%
24-hour volume$69
Total volume$313k
Liquidity$31k
Resolves2 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 7% |
| 6 Nov, 01:52 UTC | 7% |
| 5 Nov, 23:51 UTC | 8% |
| 5 Nov, 08:37 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Nov, 05:17 UTC | 8% |
| 4 Nov, 21:02 UTC | 8% |
| 4 Nov, 14:01 UTC | 8% |
| 4 Nov, 08:38 UTC | 9% |
| 4 Nov, 07:20 UTC | 9% |
| 4 Nov, 06:07 UTC | 10% |
| 4 Nov, 03:41 UTC | 11% |
| 4 Nov, 03:18 UTC | 12% |
| 4 Nov, 01:57 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Nov, 16:15 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Nov, 02:43 UTC | 16% |
| 1 Nov, 02:15 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Nov, 01:59 UTC | 15% |
| 1 Nov, 00:07 UTC | 18% |
| 31 Oct, 23:17 UTC | 18% |
| 31 Oct, 22:50 UTC | 18% |
| 31 Oct, 21:24 UTC | 17% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
For the Yes outcome, Kim Jong Un must meet Donald Trump in person between January 1 and December 31, 2026. The market resolves to No if this specific encounter does not occur within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the resolution deadline or ignore the requirement for a direct, in-person interaction.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 7%
- No 94%
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