Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un by November 30, 2026?
Implied probability 4%+1
24-hour volume$75
Total volume$13k
Liquidity$16k
Resolves1 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 4% |
| 6 Nov, 20:31 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Nov, 20:02 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Nov, 19:11 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Nov, 18:49 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Nov, 17:20 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Nov, 15:21 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Nov, 13:20 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Nov, 11:29 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Nov, 08:55 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Nov, 06:00 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Nov, 04:41 UTC | 3% |
| 6 Nov, 03:37 UTC | 3% |
| 6 Nov, 01:52 UTC | 3% |
| 6 Nov, 01:24 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Nov, 23:51 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Nov, 23:29 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Nov, 21:49 UTC | 3% |
| 5 Nov, 17:42 UTC | 3% |
| 5 Nov, 17:20 UTC | 3% |
| 5 Nov, 16:21 UTC | 3% |
| 5 Nov, 14:00 UTC | 3% |
| 5 Nov, 13:52 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Nov, 13:23 UTC | 3% |
| 5 Nov, 11:56 UTC | 3% |
| 5 Nov, 09:25 UTC | 3% |
| 3 Nov, 21:41 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Nov, 20:56 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Nov, 13:04 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Nov, 12:36 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Nov, 11:52 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Nov, 11:27 UTC | 9% |
| 3 Nov, 10:59 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Nov, 10:22 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Nov, 09:34 UTC | 9% |
| 3 Nov, 06:23 UTC | 8% |
| 2 Nov, 05:02 UTC | 8% |
| 1 Nov, 05:02 UTC | 10% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump and Kim Jong Un meet in person and interact before November 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. It resolves to No if that specific encounter does not occur within the deadline. Readers often mistake general diplomatic talks or border tensions for a direct meeting between the two leaders.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 4%
- No 96%
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