Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?
Implied probability 0%−30
24-hour volume$133k
Total volume$292k
Liquidity$46k
Resolves4 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 4 Nov, 03:41 UTC | 0% |
| 4 Nov, 03:26 UTC | 0% |
| 4 Nov, 02:49 UTC | 0% |
| 4 Nov, 02:26 UTC | 0% |
| 4 Nov, 01:57 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Nov, 01:27 UTC | 7% |
| 4 Nov, 00:58 UTC | 10% |
| 4 Nov, 00:29 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Nov, 23:46 UTC | 25% |
| 3 Nov, 23:24 UTC | 27% |
| 3 Nov, 22:49 UTC | 27% |
| 3 Nov, 21:11 UTC | 28% |
| 3 Nov, 20:49 UTC | 28% |
| 3 Nov, 20:27 UTC | 28% |
| 3 Nov, 19:50 UTC | 27% |
| 3 Nov, 18:44 UTC | 30% |
| 3 Nov, 17:26 UTC | 32% |
| 3 Nov, 16:40 UTC | 33% |
| 3 Nov, 16:26 UTC | 34% |
| 3 Nov, 14:32 UTC | 33% |
| 3 Nov, 14:25 UTC | 32% |
| 3 Nov, 13:40 UTC | 31% |
| 3 Nov, 12:50 UTC | 29% |
| 3 Nov, 11:52 UTC | 28% |
| 3 Nov, 10:38 UTC | 27% |
| 3 Nov, 09:40 UTC | 27% |
| 3 Nov, 09:27 UTC | 28% |
| 3 Nov, 08:17 UTC | 27% |
| 3 Nov, 07:26 UTC | 26% |
| 3 Nov, 06:44 UTC | 27% |
| 3 Nov, 05:54 UTC | 28% |
| 2 Nov, 17:56 UTC | 31% |
| 2 Nov, 10:36 UTC | 30% |
| 2 Nov, 08:57 UTC | 29% |
| 2 Nov, 02:01 UTC | 30% |
| 1 Nov, 22:10 UTC | 31% |
| 1 Nov, 21:56 UTC | 30% |
| 1 Nov, 20:21 UTC | 29% |
| 1 Nov, 19:16 UTC | 28% |
| 1 Nov, 15:00 UTC | 30% |
| 1 Nov, 10:28 UTC | 30% |
| 1 Nov, 05:04 UTC | 30% |
| 1 Nov, 03:54 UTC | 30% |
| 1 Nov, 03:26 UTC | 30% |
| 1 Nov, 02:15 UTC | 30% |
| 1 Nov, 00:28 UTC | 31% |
| 31 Oct, 20:21 UTC | 32% |
| 31 Oct, 19:59 UTC | 31% |
| 31 Oct, 10:52 UTC | 32% |
| 31 Oct, 08:07 UTC | 32% |
| 31 Oct, 02:19 UTC | 33% |
| 31 Oct, 01:39 UTC | 35% |
| 31 Oct, 00:38 UTC | 35% |
| 30 Oct, 21:53 UTC | 35% |
| 30 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 35% |
| 30 Oct, 14:07 UTC | 34% |
| 30 Oct, 13:50 UTC | 33% |
| 30 Oct, 12:38 UTC | 34% |
| 30 Oct, 10:06 UTC | 37% |
| 30 Oct, 07:09 UTC | 38% |
| 30 Oct, 03:54 UTC | 37% |
| 29 Oct, 10:26 UTC | 39% |
| 29 Oct, 08:26 UTC | 38% |
| 29 Oct, 02:53 UTC | 38% |
| 29 Oct, 02:27 UTC | 38% |
| 29 Oct, 00:20 UTC | 38% |
| 28 Oct, 21:15 UTC | 38% |
| 28 Oct, 20:52 UTC | 38% |
| 28 Oct, 20:02 UTC | 38% |
| 28 Oct, 19:40 UTC | 38% |
| 28 Oct, 19:07 UTC | 38% |
| 28 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 38% |
| 28 Oct, 15:19 UTC | 38% |
| 28 Oct, 14:56 UTC | 38% |
| 28 Oct, 12:04 UTC | 38% |
| 28 Oct, 11:37 UTC | 39% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if a Republican wins the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election, and No otherwise. The market resolves once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate, or based on official certification if they do not agree. Readers often mistake the linked football story as relevant to the resolution.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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