Will Brock Purdy win the 2026 NFL MVP?
Why it moved: +4 points at 19:25 UTC, after SI Feed: Brock Purdy Surging on Kalshi NFL MVP Market — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 16% |
| 30 Sept, 13:38 UTC | 16% |
| 30 Sept, 13:08 UTC | 16% |
| 30 Sept, 12:53 UTC | 16% |
| 30 Sept, 11:47 UTC | 16% |
| 30 Sept, 11:25 UTC | 16% |
| 30 Sept, 06:41 UTC | 16% |
| 30 Sept, 06:27 UTC | 16% |
| 30 Sept, 05:17 UTC | 16% |
| 30 Sept, 03:56 UTC | 16% |
| 30 Sept, 03:13 UTC | 16% |
| 30 Sept, 02:59 UTC | 16% |
| 30 Sept, 02:21 UTC | 16% |
| 30 Sept, 01:52 UTC | 16% |
| 30 Sept, 01:08 UTC | 16% |
| 30 Sept, 00:40 UTC | 16% |
| 30 Sept, 00:10 UTC | 16% |
| 29 Sept, 23:54 UTC | 16% |
| 29 Sept, 22:02 UTC | 16% |
| 29 Sept, 21:54 UTC | 16% |
| 29 Sept, 21:17 UTC | 16% |
| 29 Sept, 20:49 UTC | 16% |
| 29 Sept, 20:26 UTC | 16% |
| 29 Sept, 19:54 UTC | 15% |
| 29 Sept, 19:25 UTC | 15% |
| 24 Sept, 00:02 UTC | 12% |
| 23 Sept, 23:55 UTC | 12% |
| 23 Sept, 23:27 UTC | 11% |
| 23 Sept, 22:40 UTC | 11% |
| 23 Sept, 22:12 UTC | 11% |
| 23 Sept, 21:50 UTC | 12% |
| 23 Sept, 21:29 UTC | 11% |
| 23 Sept, 20:55 UTC | 12% |
| 23 Sept, 20:27 UTC | 11% |
| 23 Sept, 19:47 UTC | 11% |
| 23 Sept, 19:21 UTC | 11% |
| 23 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 11% |
| 23 Sept, 18:25 UTC | 11% |
| 23 Sept, 17:59 UTC | 11% |
| 23 Sept, 17:25 UTC | 11% |
| 23 Sept, 16:35 UTC | 11% |
| 23 Sept, 15:37 UTC | 12% |
Your call. How does this end?
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What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if Brock Purdy is named the 2026 NFL MVP. The No outcome applies if any other player wins the award or if the season ends without a winner. Readers often mistake the linked game result for the resolution criteria, but only the official MVP title matters.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 16%
- No 84%
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