Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 1?
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$10k
Resolved1 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 2 Nov, 03:13 UTC | 0% |
| 1 Nov, 09:22 UTC | 0% |
| 31 Oct, 09:22 UTC | 1% |
What counts
The market resolves based on the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on November 1, 2026. For the 'Yes' outcome, that specific daily maximum must be exactly 26°C; for 'No', it must be any other value. Readers often mistake the deadline for resolution, which is triggered either when the data is published or seven days after the observation date, whichever comes first.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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