Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 7?
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$4k
Total volume$7k
Liquidity$18k
Resolved7 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 8 Oct, 08:17 UTC | 0% |
| 7 Oct, 11:52 UTC | 20% |
| 7 Oct, 11:17 UTC | 24% |
| 7 Oct, 10:50 UTC | 21% |
| 7 Oct, 10:22 UTC | 20% |
| 7 Oct, 09:59 UTC | 23% |
| 7 Oct, 09:24 UTC | 23% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 22% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 21% |
| 7 Oct, 00:35 UTC | 16% |
| 6 Oct, 00:35 UTC | 23% |
What counts
The market resolves based on the highest whole-degree Fahrenheit temperature recorded at Los Angeles International Airport by NOAA on October 7, 2026. Readers must check the official NOAA hourly data table for that specific date and station to determine if the peak value falls between 90 and 91 degrees.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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