Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
The market favoured Yes at 96% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$14k
Total volume$60k
Liquidity$48k
Resolved1 Jul 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 9 Oct, 02:14 UTC | 100% |
| 9 Oct, 01:36 UTC | 100% |
| 9 Oct, 00:55 UTC | 99% |
| 9 Oct, 00:23 UTC | 99% |
| 8 Oct, 23:56 UTC | 99% |
| 8 Oct, 23:23 UTC | 99% |
| 8 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 99% |
| 8 Oct, 22:29 UTC | 100% |
| 7 Oct, 22:28 UTC | 97% |
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%
View this market on Polymarket →