Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter?
Implied probability 5%
24-hour volume$100
Total volume$27k
Liquidity$19k
Resolves31 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 2 Oct, 18:13 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Oct, 15:59 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Oct, 15:09 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Oct, 14:07 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Oct, 11:15 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Oct, 04:01 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Oct, 01:59 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Oct, 18:43 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Oct, 15:50 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Oct, 09:03 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Oct, 06:29 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Sept, 16:59 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Sept, 15:39 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Sept, 14:30 UTC | 6% |
| 30 Sept, 14:23 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Sept, 13:57 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Sept, 13:00 UTC | 6% |
| 30 Sept, 12:53 UTC | 6% |
| 30 Sept, 11:03 UTC | 6% |
| 30 Sept, 10:22 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Sept, 09:11 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Sept, 08:43 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Sept, 07:58 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Sept, 07:29 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Sept, 06:55 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Sept, 06:27 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Sept, 05:38 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Sept, 23:46 UTC | 6% |
| 29 Sept, 22:53 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Sept, 21:54 UTC | 6% |
| 29 Sept, 21:17 UTC | 6% |
| 29 Sept, 20:26 UTC | 6% |
| 29 Sept, 19:54 UTC | 6% |
| 29 Sept, 19:10 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Sept, 18:47 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Sept, 18:13 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Sept, 17:57 UTC | 6% |
| 29 Sept, 17:16 UTC | 6% |
| 29 Sept, 16:54 UTC | 6% |
| 29 Sept, 16:23 UTC | 6% |
| 29 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 14% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Lindsay Clancy receives a conviction for manslaughter in the Massachusetts case by December 31, 2026, or by the end of any retrial that starts before that date. The outcome is No if she is acquitted, charged with murder only, has charges dropped, or if no judgment occurs by the deadline.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 5%
- No 95%
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