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Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Implied probability 100%+15
24-hour volume$464k
Total volume$1.4M
Liquidity$83k
Resolves4 Nov 2026
How the odds moved · Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
0%50%100%100%28 Oct, 06:20 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now100%
4 Nov, 03:55 UTC99%
4 Nov, 03:26 UTC99%
4 Nov, 02:56 UTC98%
4 Nov, 02:26 UTC98%
4 Nov, 01:57 UTC97%
4 Nov, 01:27 UTC96%
4 Nov, 00:58 UTC90%
4 Nov, 00:29 UTC85%
3 Nov, 23:53 UTC84%
3 Nov, 23:24 UTC79%
3 Nov, 21:34 UTC82%
3 Nov, 21:26 UTC83%
3 Nov, 20:41 UTC84%
3 Nov, 19:29 UTC83%
3 Nov, 16:19 UTC83%
3 Nov, 15:29 UTC84%
3 Nov, 12:07 UTC85%
3 Nov, 04:43 UTC84%
3 Nov, 04:01 UTC85%
3 Nov, 02:58 UTC84%
2 Nov, 18:11 UTC83%
2 Nov, 09:39 UTC82%
1 Nov, 12:33 UTC81%
1 Nov, 12:16 UTC82%
1 Nov, 11:33 UTC83%
1 Nov, 11:26 UTC82%
1 Nov, 03:54 UTC82%
1 Nov, 03:12 UTC80%
1 Nov, 01:52 UTC80%
1 Nov, 00:00 UTC81%
31 Oct, 23:46 UTC80%
31 Oct, 22:57 UTC81%
31 Oct, 22:00 UTC81%
31 Oct, 20:14 UTC82%
31 Oct, 19:46 UTC81%
31 Oct, 16:58 UTC81%
31 Oct, 16:15 UTC81%
31 Oct, 15:52 UTC81%
31 Oct, 14:38 UTC81%
31 Oct, 13:01 UTC81%
31 Oct, 12:54 UTC82%
31 Oct, 12:18 UTC81%
31 Oct, 11:57 UTC81%
31 Oct, 11:28 UTC81%
31 Oct, 10:59 UTC81%
31 Oct, 08:35 UTC82%
31 Oct, 06:15 UTC81%
31 Oct, 02:54 UTC81%
30 Oct, 21:53 UTC81%
30 Oct, 19:13 UTC81%
30 Oct, 17:27 UTC82%
30 Oct, 15:43 UTC82%
30 Oct, 15:28 UTC81%
30 Oct, 14:38 UTC82%
30 Oct, 14:16 UTC82%
30 Oct, 13:42 UTC82%
30 Oct, 12:59 UTC82%
30 Oct, 11:18 UTC82%
30 Oct, 10:28 UTC82%
30 Oct, 09:02 UTC82%
30 Oct, 05:21 UTC82%
30 Oct, 04:01 UTC83%
30 Oct, 03:47 UTC82%
30 Oct, 01:28 UTC82%
30 Oct, 00:06 UTC83%
29 Oct, 22:32 UTC83%
29 Oct, 21:48 UTC82%
29 Oct, 21:14 UTC81%
29 Oct, 20:46 UTC81%
29 Oct, 19:57 UTC80%
29 Oct, 19:29 UTC79%
29 Oct, 18:06 UTC79%
29 Oct, 17:46 UTC83%
29 Oct, 14:16 UTC84%
29 Oct, 13:29 UTC83%
29 Oct, 12:03 UTC83%
29 Oct, 00:55 UTC82%
28 Oct, 23:40 UTC82%
28 Oct, 23:26 UTC82%
28 Oct, 22:39 UTC82%
28 Oct, 20:44 UTC82%
28 Oct, 18:59 UTC82%
28 Oct, 18:29 UTC81%
28 Oct, 17:54 UTC79%
28 Oct, 11:45 UTC80%
28 Oct, 10:48 UTC79%
28 Oct, 06:20 UTC79%

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What counts

The Yes outcome occurs if a Democratic nominee wins the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election. The No outcome applies if any other candidate wins. Readers often mistake the deadline, but the market resolves only when Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate, or upon official certification if they do not.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 100%
  • No 0%

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