Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by November 30, 2026?
Implied probability 97%+1
24-hour volume$4k
Total volume$17k
Liquidity$25k
Resolves1 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 97% |
| 7 Nov, 04:26 UTC | 97% |
| 7 Nov, 03:59 UTC | 98% |
| 7 Nov, 02:09 UTC | 95% |
| 6 Nov, 21:38 UTC | 97% |
| 6 Nov, 10:49 UTC | 96% |
| 6 Nov, 02:52 UTC | 96% |
| 5 Nov, 22:54 UTC | 96% |
| 5 Nov, 15:57 UTC | 96% |
| 5 Nov, 07:09 UTC | 97% |
| 5 Nov, 05:50 UTC | 97% |
| 5 Nov, 05:17 UTC | 97% |
| 5 Nov, 04:34 UTC | 97% |
| 5 Nov, 04:26 UTC | 97% |
| 5 Nov, 03:51 UTC | 97% |
| 5 Nov, 03:01 UTC | 97% |
| 5 Nov, 02:54 UTC | 97% |
| 5 Nov, 02:03 UTC | 95% |
| 5 Nov, 01:49 UTC | 96% |
| 4 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 95% |
| 4 Nov, 15:43 UTC | 95% |
| 4 Nov, 15:06 UTC | 95% |
| 4 Nov, 14:59 UTC | 96% |
| 4 Nov, 13:53 UTC | 95% |
| 4 Nov, 13:24 UTC | 95% |
| 4 Nov, 12:02 UTC | 96% |
| 4 Nov, 11:40 UTC | 96% |
| 4 Nov, 11:12 UTC | 96% |
| 4 Nov, 10:21 UTC | 96% |
| 4 Nov, 09:57 UTC | 96% |
| 4 Nov, 09:21 UTC | 95% |
| 4 Nov, 08:53 UTC | 95% |
| 4 Nov, 08:24 UTC | 95% |
| 4 Nov, 07:56 UTC | 94% |
| 4 Nov, 07:20 UTC | 94% |
| 4 Nov, 05:09 UTC | 94% |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | 94% |
| 4 Nov, 04:25 UTC | 94% |
| 4 Nov, 03:55 UTC | 94% |
| 4 Nov, 03:26 UTC | 95% |
| 3 Nov, 23:17 UTC | 94% |
| 3 Nov, 21:49 UTC | 94% |
| 3 Nov, 17:03 UTC | 94% |
| 3 Nov, 16:40 UTC | 94% |
| 3 Nov, 16:04 UTC | 94% |
| 3 Nov, 15:29 UTC | 94% |
| 3 Nov, 13:04 UTC | 94% |
| 3 Nov, 12:28 UTC | 94% |
| 3 Nov, 11:06 UTC | 94% |
| 3 Nov, 10:45 UTC | 94% |
| 3 Nov, 10:09 UTC | 94% |
| 3 Nov, 09:54 UTC | 94% |
| 3 Nov, 09:27 UTC | 94% |
| 3 Nov, 08:17 UTC | 94% |
| 3 Nov, 07:55 UTC | 94% |
| 3 Nov, 07:26 UTC | 94% |
| 3 Nov, 06:23 UTC | 94% |
| 3 Nov, 05:54 UTC | 94% |
| 3 Nov, 05:25 UTC | 94% |
| 3 Nov, 04:51 UTC | 94% |
| 3 Nov, 04:08 UTC | 94% |
| 3 Nov, 03:40 UTC | 94% |
| 3 Nov, 01:54 UTC | 94% |
| 2 Nov, 22:02 UTC | 94% |
| 2 Nov, 20:37 UTC | 95% |
| 2 Nov, 13:41 UTC | 95% |
| 2 Nov, 13:04 UTC | 95% |
| 2 Nov, 12:05 UTC | 95% |
| 2 Nov, 08:01 UTC | 95% |
| 2 Nov, 06:56 UTC | 95% |
| 2 Nov, 06:21 UTC | 95% |
| 2 Nov, 05:46 UTC | 95% |
| 2 Nov, 05:24 UTC | 95% |
| 2 Nov, 04:47 UTC | 95% |
| 2 Nov, 01:24 UTC | 95% |
| 2 Nov, 00:19 UTC | 95% |
| 1 Nov, 23:22 UTC | 95% |
| 31 Oct, 23:22 UTC | 89% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to "Yes" if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping meet in person and interact between now and November 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to "No." Readers often mistake the deadline as the end of the day on November 30 without accounting for the specific 11:59 PM ET cutoff.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 97%
- No 3%
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