Erdoğan out by end of 2026?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 7 Nov, 05:09 UTC | 2% |
| 7 Nov, 00:44 UTC | 2% |
| 6 Nov, 21:45 UTC | 2% |
| 6 Nov, 19:47 UTC | 2% |
| 6 Nov, 19:25 UTC | 2% |
| 6 Nov, 16:57 UTC | 2% |
| 6 Nov, 16:05 UTC | 2% |
| 6 Nov, 15:05 UTC | 2% |
| 6 Nov, 14:56 UTC | 2% |
| 6 Nov, 13:49 UTC | 2% |
| 6 Nov, 13:27 UTC | 2% |
| 6 Nov, 12:51 UTC | 2% |
| 6 Nov, 12:15 UTC | 2% |
| 6 Nov, 11:45 UTC | 2% |
| 6 Nov, 11:29 UTC | 2% |
| 6 Nov, 10:49 UTC | 2% |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | 3% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan stops being President of Turkey at any point before the deadline. An official announcement of his resignation or removal triggers an immediate Yes resolution, even if the change takes effect later. Readers often mistake the source of truth, but only official government statements or a consensus of credible reporting count as valid evidence.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%
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