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Will any contestant beat Luke Littler?

Resolved: Yes 7d ago

The market favoured Yes at 74% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$13k
Total volume$6k
Liquidity$1k
Resolved31 Oct 2026
How the odds moved · Will any contestant beat Luke Littler?
0%50%100%100%24 Oct, 11:19 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now100%
30 Oct, 21:46 UTC86%
30 Oct, 21:24 UTC60%
30 Oct, 20:51 UTC67%
30 Oct, 20:22 UTC71%
30 Oct, 19:53 UTC77%
30 Oct, 19:13 UTC76%
30 Oct, 18:58 UTC80%
30 Oct, 16:39 UTC79%
30 Oct, 16:18 UTC84%
30 Oct, 15:43 UTC83%
30 Oct, 14:31 UTC82%
30 Oct, 11:59 UTC82%
30 Oct, 08:48 UTC82%
30 Oct, 06:35 UTC82%
30 Oct, 06:14 UTC81%
30 Oct, 03:54 UTC74%
30 Oct, 03:09 UTC80%
30 Oct, 01:28 UTC80%
30 Oct, 00:49 UTC80%
30 Oct, 00:28 UTC82%
29 Oct, 23:26 UTC83%
29 Oct, 21:34 UTC84%
29 Oct, 20:53 UTC84%
29 Oct, 20:16 UTC84%
29 Oct, 19:22 UTC73%
28 Oct, 15:19 UTC72%
28 Oct, 14:35 UTC69%
28 Oct, 14:06 UTC68%
28 Oct, 13:57 UTC65%
28 Oct, 13:16 UTC65%
28 Oct, 08:15 UTC69%
28 Oct, 07:15 UTC64%
28 Oct, 04:03 UTC64%
28 Oct, 03:56 UTC66%
28 Oct, 03:29 UTC66%
28 Oct, 02:51 UTC66%
28 Oct, 01:00 UTC66%
28 Oct, 00:53 UTC66%
28 Oct, 00:28 UTC66%
27 Oct, 23:45 UTC66%
27 Oct, 23:19 UTC66%
27 Oct, 22:44 UTC65%
27 Oct, 22:23 UTC66%
27 Oct, 21:47 UTC67%
27 Oct, 21:12 UTC66%
27 Oct, 20:53 UTC65%
27 Oct, 20:10 UTC66%
27 Oct, 19:55 UTC66%
27 Oct, 19:26 UTC66%
27 Oct, 17:36 UTC71%
27 Oct, 16:15 UTC72%
27 Oct, 15:05 UTC70%
27 Oct, 12:57 UTC70%
27 Oct, 10:12 UTC70%
27 Oct, 00:45 UTC70%
26 Oct, 19:23 UTC71%
26 Oct, 18:48 UTC75%
26 Oct, 18:19 UTC73%
26 Oct, 17:28 UTC74%
26 Oct, 16:31 UTC67%
26 Oct, 16:24 UTC66%
26 Oct, 15:54 UTC71%
26 Oct, 14:40 UTC67%
26 Oct, 14:03 UTC68%
26 Oct, 13:47 UTC67%
26 Oct, 12:25 UTC71%
26 Oct, 11:56 UTC75%
26 Oct, 10:07 UTC67%
26 Oct, 09:39 UTC67%
26 Oct, 09:17 UTC64%
26 Oct, 08:37 UTC67%
26 Oct, 08:09 UTC66%
26 Oct, 07:37 UTC66%
26 Oct, 07:06 UTC64%
26 Oct, 06:58 UTC68%
26 Oct, 06:13 UTC67%
26 Oct, 05:11 UTC67%
26 Oct, 04:50 UTC65%
26 Oct, 04:29 UTC66%
26 Oct, 01:27 UTC63%
26 Oct, 00:54 UTC69%
25 Oct, 23:01 UTC64%
25 Oct, 22:54 UTC69%
25 Oct, 22:20 UTC64%
25 Oct, 21:57 UTC66%
25 Oct, 21:29 UTC66%
25 Oct, 20:56 UTC64%
25 Oct, 20:26 UTC65%
25 Oct, 19:32 UTC64%
25 Oct, 19:25 UTC63%
25 Oct, 18:57 UTC62%
25 Oct, 17:56 UTC64%
25 Oct, 17:17 UTC63%
25 Oct, 16:56 UTC69%
25 Oct, 16:21 UTC65%
25 Oct, 15:32 UTC65%
25 Oct, 14:27 UTC66%
25 Oct, 13:49 UTC66%
25 Oct, 12:49 UTC66%
25 Oct, 09:58 UTC64%
25 Oct, 09:21 UTC65%
25 Oct, 08:32 UTC65%
25 Oct, 08:00 UTC69%
25 Oct, 06:28 UTC65%
25 Oct, 05:57 UTC66%
25 Oct, 04:43 UTC65%
25 Oct, 03:51 UTC65%
25 Oct, 02:42 UTC65%
25 Oct, 02:28 UTC65%
25 Oct, 00:14 UTC66%
24 Oct, 23:48 UTC67%
24 Oct, 23:19 UTC67%
24 Oct, 22:58 UTC69%
24 Oct, 17:29 UTC68%
24 Oct, 16:40 UTC69%
24 Oct, 15:34 UTC70%
24 Oct, 15:27 UTC70%
24 Oct, 14:54 UTC71%
24 Oct, 14:20 UTC72%
24 Oct, 13:45 UTC71%
24 Oct, 13:14 UTC70%
24 Oct, 11:57 UTC70%
24 Oct, 11:19 UTC71%

What counts

The market resolves to "Yes" if any contestant wins a leg against Luke Littler during the live Netflix special and the show officially declares that win. It resolves to "No" if no one wins, or if the event is cancelled, postponed past November 30, 2026, or if Littler does not play.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 100%
  • No 0%

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