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Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?

Implied probability 3%−2
24-hour volume$67
Total volume$49k
Liquidity$22k
Resolves2 Jan 2027
How the odds moved · Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?
0%50%100%3%5 Nov, 04:12 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now3%
6 Nov, 20:46 UTC3%
6 Nov, 17:12 UTC2%
6 Nov, 16:35 UTC2%
6 Nov, 15:29 UTC3%
6 Nov, 14:26 UTC3%
6 Nov, 12:44 UTC3%
6 Nov, 11:12 UTC3%
6 Nov, 10:20 UTC3%
6 Nov, 09:51 UTC3%
6 Nov, 09:09 UTC4%
6 Nov, 08:06 UTC4%
6 Nov, 07:59 UTC4%
6 Nov, 07:24 UTC4%
6 Nov, 06:00 UTC4%
6 Nov, 02:07 UTC4%
5 Nov, 21:49 UTC4%
5 Nov, 21:26 UTC5%
5 Nov, 20:56 UTC5%
5 Nov, 15:41 UTC5%
5 Nov, 12:44 UTC4%
5 Nov, 11:34 UTC4%
5 Nov, 11:26 UTC4%
5 Nov, 10:24 UTC4%
5 Nov, 07:38 UTC4%
5 Nov, 04:47 UTC5%
5 Nov, 04:12 UTC5%

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump physically enters North Korea’s land or sea territory between January 1 and December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. It resolves to No if he does not make such a physical entry within that specific window. Readers often mistakenly count flights over the country's airspace as a visit, but only actual entry onto the territory counts.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 3%
  • No 97%

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