Ken Paxton
Implied probability 0%−27
24-hour volume$83.9M
Total volume$140.3M
Liquidity$140.3M
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a Republican is sworn in as a U.S. Senator from Texas for the term starting in 2027. It resolves to No otherwise. Readers often mistake the linked article about Paxton's wife for the actual event, but only the official swearing-in of a Republican senator counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%