James Talarico
Implied probability 71%+1
24-hour volume$1.3M
Total volume$17.7M
Liquidity$17.7M
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if a Democrat takes office as a U.S. Senator from Texas starting in 2027. The outcome is No if that does not happen. Readers often mistake the fundraising milestone for the resolution condition, but only the sworn-in status of a Democratic senator matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 71%
- No 29%