Republican party
Implied probability 26%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$6k
Liquidity$6k
Resolves7 Nov 2029
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 26% |
| 4 Nov, 19:12 UTC | 26% |
| 4 Nov, 01:42 UTC | 30% |
| 3 Nov, 07:34 UTC | 33% |
| 2 Nov, 02:01 UTC | 29% |
| 30 Oct, 03:54 UTC | 27% |
| 30 Oct, 02:55 UTC | 32% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a Republican representative takes office as a U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for the term starting in 2029. It resolves to No if this specific event does not occur. Readers often mistake the date of the linked debate or any primary election results for the final resolution criteria.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 26%
- No 74%