Pete Ricketts
Implied probability 99%+32
24-hour volume$3.5M
Total volume$7.4M
Liquidity$7.4M
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a Republican is sworn in as a U.S. Senator from Nebraska for the term starting in 2027. It resolves to No if that specific condition does not occur. Readers often mistake the announcement of an investment or a primary win for the final swearing-in, which is the only event that counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%