Republican party
Implied probability 42%−1
24-hour volume$1
Total volume$10k
Liquidity$10k
Resolves7 Nov 2029
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 42% |
| 2 Nov, 02:01 UTC | 42% |
| 1 Nov, 15:46 UTC | 43% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if a Republican is sworn in as a U.S. Senator from North Carolina for the term starting in 2029. The outcome is No if that specific event does not occur. Readers often mistake the linked Iowa debate for relevant information, but only the official swearing-in of a North Carolina senator determines the result.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 42%
- No 58%