Democratic party
Implied probability 70%
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$21k
Liquidity$21k
Resolves7 Nov 2029
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 70% |
| 7 Nov, 00:59 UTC | 70% |
| 6 Nov, 22:49 UTC | 69% |
| 6 Nov, 22:21 UTC | 70% |
| 6 Nov, 21:52 UTC | 69% |
| 6 Nov, 20:53 UTC | 68% |
| 6 Nov, 19:40 UTC | 68% |
| 6 Nov, 19:25 UTC | 67% |
| 6 Nov, 18:19 UTC | 70% |
| 6 Nov, 17:50 UTC | 67% |
| 6 Nov, 15:05 UTC | 70% |
| 6 Nov, 14:56 UTC | 68% |
| 6 Nov, 14:11 UTC | 71% |
| 6 Nov, 04:06 UTC | 70% |
| 6 Nov, 03:30 UTC | 67% |
| 5 Nov, 22:54 UTC | 68% |
| 5 Nov, 21:56 UTC | 70% |
| 5 Nov, 21:11 UTC | 69% |
| 5 Nov, 20:49 UTC | 69% |
| 5 Nov, 20:04 UTC | 65% |
| 5 Nov, 19:50 UTC | 66% |
| 5 Nov, 19:29 UTC | 70% |
| 5 Nov, 18:35 UTC | 66% |
| 5 Nov, 17:35 UTC | 70% |
| 5 Nov, 17:28 UTC | 70% |
| 5 Nov, 15:41 UTC | 69% |
| 5 Nov, 15:14 UTC | 70% |
| 5 Nov, 14:40 UTC | 67% |
| 5 Nov, 13:52 UTC | 65% |
| 5 Nov, 13:07 UTC | 69% |
| 5 Nov, 07:24 UTC | 70% |
| 5 Nov, 04:40 UTC | 67% |
| 5 Nov, 04:12 UTC | 70% |
| 5 Nov, 00:59 UTC | 67% |
| 5 Nov, 00:16 UTC | 66% |
| 4 Nov, 23:47 UTC | 64% |
| 4 Nov, 22:20 UTC | 61% |
| 4 Nov, 21:34 UTC | 65% |
| 4 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 64% |
| 4 Nov, 20:45 UTC | 66% |
| 4 Nov, 20:14 UTC | 64% |
| 4 Nov, 19:57 UTC | 66% |
| 4 Nov, 19:19 UTC | 68% |
| 4 Nov, 18:50 UTC | 70% |
| 4 Nov, 18:11 UTC | 69% |
| 4 Nov, 17:56 UTC | 67% |
| 4 Nov, 17:20 UTC | 67% |
| 4 Nov, 15:36 UTC | 70% |
| 4 Nov, 15:06 UTC | 68% |
| 4 Nov, 14:59 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Nov, 14:23 UTC | 70% |
| 4 Nov, 13:53 UTC | 68% |
| 4 Nov, 12:54 UTC | 64% |
| 4 Nov, 12:24 UTC | 66% |
| 4 Nov, 08:31 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Nov, 07:56 UTC | 59% |
| 4 Nov, 07:27 UTC | 66% |
| 4 Nov, 06:43 UTC | 61% |
| 4 Nov, 05:53 UTC | 64% |
| 4 Nov, 04:47 UTC | 67% |
| 4 Nov, 04:25 UTC | 66% |
| 4 Nov, 03:55 UTC | 63% |
| 3 Nov, 03:05 UTC | 58% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if a Democrat is sworn in as a U.S. Senator from North Carolina for the term starting in 2029. The outcome is No if that specific condition is not met. Readers often mistake the date of election victory for the resolution deadline, but only the swearing-in date matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 70%
- No 30%