Michael Whatley
Implied probability 0%−3
24-hour volume$904k
Total volume$5.3M
Liquidity$5.3M
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if a Republican is sworn in as a U.S. Senator from North Carolina for the term starting in 2027. The outcome is No if that specific condition does not occur. Readers often mistake the date of the election for the resolution deadline, but the market waits until the official swearing-in ceremony.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%