Mike Rogers
Implied probability 0%−20
24-hour volume$44.8M
Total volume$60.3M
Liquidity$60.3M
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a Republican is sworn in as a U.S. Senator from Michigan for the term starting in 2027. It resolves to No if no Republican holds that specific seat during that term. Readers often mistake the linked news story about trade policy for the actual resolution criteria, which depends solely on the election outcome and official swearing-in.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%