Republican party
Implied probability 78%
24-hour volume$4
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$5k
Resolves7 Nov 2029
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 78% |
| 6 Nov, 02:52 UTC | 78% |
| 4 Nov, 21:42 UTC | 77% |
| 4 Nov, 20:14 UTC | 81% |
| 4 Nov, 19:04 UTC | 79% |
| 4 Nov, 06:07 UTC | 83% |
| 4 Nov, 05:53 UTC | 81% |
| 4 Nov, 05:09 UTC | 82% |
| 3 Nov, 04:11 UTC | 76% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if a Republican is sworn in as a U.S. Senator from Kansas for the term starting in 2029. The outcome is No if that specific event does not occur. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the relevant deadline, but only the swearing-in for the 2029 term matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 78%
- No 22%