Roger Marshall
Implied probability 0%−39
24-hour volume$2.4M
Total volume$7.2M
Liquidity$7.2M
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a Republican is sworn in as a U.S. Senator from Kansas for the term starting in 2027. It resolves to No if that specific condition does not occur. Readers often mistake the linked news story about campaign spending for the actual event required for resolution, but only the official swearing-in matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%